Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Талеб Нассим Николас (книги бесплатно без TXT) 📗

Fischhoff, Baruch, 1982a, „Debiasing.“ In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. TVersky, eds., Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

-, 1982b, „For Those Condemned to Study the Past: Heuristics and Biases in Hindsight.“ In D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. TVersky, Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Fischhoff, В., and D. MacGregor, 1983, „Judged Lethality: How Much People Seem to Know Depends on How They Are Asked.“ Risk Analysis 3: 229–236.

Fischhoff, Baruch, Paul Slovic, and Sarah Lichtenstein, 1977, „Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence.“ Journal of Experimental Psychology 3(4): 552–564.

Floridi, Luciano, 2002, The Transmission and Recovery of Pyrrhonism. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Flyvbjerg, Bent, Metre Skamris Holm, and Soren Buhl, 2002, „Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects — Error or Lie.“ American Journal of Planning 68(3), http://flyvbjerg.plan.aau.dk/JAPAASPUBLISHED.pdf.

Fodor, Jerry A., 1983, The Modularity of Mind: An Essay on Faculty Psychology. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.

Foster, George, 1977, „Quarterly Accounting Data: Time-series Properties and Predictive Ability Results.“ Accounting Review 52:1–21.

Fox, M. A., and P. Kochanowski, 2004, „Models of Superstardom: An Application of the Lotka and Yule Distributions.“ Popular Music and Society 27:507–522.

Frame, Donald M., 1965, Montaigne: A Biography. New York: Harcourt Brace and World.

Frank, Jerome D., 1935, „Some Psychological Determinants of the Level of Aspiration.“ American Journal of Psychology 47: 285–293.

Frank, Robert, 1994, „Talent and the Winner-Take-All Society.“ A review of Derek Bok's The Cost of Talent: How Executives and Professionals Are Paid and How It Affects America, New York: The Free Press, 1993, in The American Prospect 5(17), http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=talent_and_the_winnertakeall_society

Frank, Robert H., 1985, Choosing the Right Pond: Human Behavior and the Quest for Status. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Frank, Robert H., and P. J. Cook, 1995, The Winner-Take-All Society: Why the Few at the Top Get So Much More Than the Rest of Us. New York: The Free Press.

Frankfurter, G. M., and E. G. McGoun, 1996, Toward Finance with Meaning: The Methodology of Finance: What It Is and What It Can Be. Greenwich, Conn.: JAI Press.

Freedman, D. A., and P. B. Stark, 2003, „What Is the Chance of an Earthquake?“ Technical Report 611 of the Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, September 2001, revised January 2003.

Friesen, Geoffrey, and Paul A. Weller, 2002, „Quantifying Cognitive Biases in Analyst Earnings Forecasts.“ Working Paper, University of Iowa.

Frohlich, N., J. A. Oppenheimer, and C. L. Eavy, 1987a, „Laboratory Results on Rawls's Distributive Justice.“ British Journal of Political Science 17:1–21.

-, 1987b, „Choices of Principles of Distributive Justice in Experimental Groups“ American Journal of Political Science 31(3): 606–636.

Froot, K. A., 2001, „The Market for Catastrophe Risk: A Clinical Examination,“ Journal of Financial Economics 60(2–3): 529–571.

Fukuyama, Francis, 1992, The End of History and the Last Man. New York: The Free Press.

Fuller, Steve, 2005, The Intellectual. London: Icon Books.

Fulton, Alice, 1998, „Fractal Amplifications: Writing in Three Dimensions.“ Thumbscrew 12 (winter).

Gabaix, X., P. Gopikrishnan, V. Plerou, and H. E. Stanley, 2003, „A Theory of Power-law Distributions in Financial Market Fluctuations.“ Nature 423: 267–270.

Gaddis, John Lewis, 2002, The Landscape of History: How Historians Map the Past. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Galbraith, John Kenneth, 1997, The Great Crash 1929. New York: Mariner Books.

Galison, Peter, 2003, Einstein's Clocks, Poincare's Maps: Empires of Time. New York: W. W. Norton and Company.

Gave, Charles, Anatole Kaletsky, and Louis-Vincent Gave, 2005, Our Brave New World. London: GaveKal Research.

Gazzaniga, M. S., R. Ivry, and G. R. Mangun, 2002, Cognitive Neuroscience: The Biology of the Mind, 2nd ed. New York: W. W. Norton and Company.

Gazzaniga, Michael, and Joseph LeDoux, 1978, The Integrated Mind. Plenum Press.

Gazzaniga, Michael S., 2005, The Ethical Brain. New York: Dana Press.

Gehring, W. J., and A. R.Willoughby, 2002, „The Medial Frontal Cortex and the Rapid Processing of Monetary Gains and Losses.“ Science 295: 2279–2282.

Gelman, S. A., 1988, „The Development of Induction Within Natural Kind and Artifact Categories.“ Cognitive Psychology 20: 65–95.

Gelman, S. A., and J*. D. Coley, 1990, „The Importance of Knowing a Dodo Is a Bird: Categories and Inferences in Two-year-old Children.“ Developmental Psychology 26: 796–804.

Gelman, S. A., and L. A. Hirschfeld, 1999, „How Biological Is Essentialism?“ In D. L. Medin and S. Atran, eds., Folkbiology. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.

Gelman, S. A., and E. M. Markman, 1986, „Categories and Induction in Young Children.“ Cognition 23:183–209.

Gervais, Simon, and Terrance Odean, 1999, „Learning to Be Overconfident.“ Working Paper, University of Pennsylvania.

Gigerenzer, G., P. M. Todd, and the ABC Research Group, 2000, Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Gigerenzer, Gerd, 1984, „External Validity of Laboratory Experiments: The Frequency-Validity Relationship.“ American Journal of Psychology 97'. 185–195.

-, 1987, „Survival of the Fittest Probabilist: Brunswik, Thurstone, and the lwo Disciplines of Psychology.“ In L. Kriiger, G. Gigerenzer, and M. S. Morgan, eds., The Probabilistic Revolution, Vol. 2: Ideas in the Sciences. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.

-, 1991, „From Tools to Theories: A Heuristic of Discovery in Cognitive Psychology.“ Psychological Review 98(2): 254–267.

Gigerenzer, G., J. Czerlinski, and L. Martignon, 2002, „How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics?“ In T. Gilovich, D. Griffin, and D. Kahneman, eds., 2002.

Gigerenzer, G., and D. G. Goldstein, 1996, „Reasoning the Fast and Frugal Way: Models of Bounded Rationality.“ Psychological Review 103: 650–669.

Gigerenzer, Gerd, W. Hell, and H. Blank, 1988, „Presentation and Content: