Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Талеб Нассим Николас (книги бесплатно без TXT) 📗
Lim, Т., 2001, «Rationality and Analysts' Forecast Bias.» Journal ofFinanee 56(1): 369–385.
Lissowski, Grzegorz, Tadeusz lyszka, and Wlodzimierz Okrasa, 1991, «Principles of Distributive Justice: Experiments in Poland and America.» Journal of Conflict Resolution 35(1): 98–119.
Liu, Jing, 1998, «Post-Earnings Announcement Drift and Analysts' Forecasts.» Working Paper, UCLA.
Loewenstein, G. F., E. U. Weber, С. K. Hsee, and E. S. Welch, 2001, «Risk as Feelings.» Psychological Bulletin 127: 267–286.
Loewenstein, George, 1992, «The Fall and Rise of Psychological Explanations in the Economics of Intertemporal Choice.» In George Loewenstein and Jon Elster, eds., Choice over Time. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Loftus, Elizabeth F., and Katherine Ketcham, 1994, The Myth of Repressed Memory: False Memories and Allegations and Sexual Abuse. New York: St. Martin's Press.
Lotka, Alfred J., 1926, «The Frequency Distribution of Scientific Productivity.» Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences 16(12): 317–323.
Lowenstein, R., 2000, When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management. New York: Random House.
Lucas, Robert E., 1978, «Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy.» Econometrica 46:1429–1445.
Luce, R. D., and H. Raiffa, 1957, Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey. New York: Wiley.
Mach, Е., 1896, «On the Part Played by Accident in Invention and Discovery.» Monist 6:161–175.
Machina, M. J., and M. Rothschild, 1987, «Risk.» In J. Eatwell, M. Mil-gate, and P. Newman, eds., 1987.
Magee, Bryan, 1985, Philosophy and the Real World: An Introduction to Karl Popper La Salle, 111.: Open Court Books.
-, 1997, Confessions of a Philosopher. London: Weidenfeld &c Nicolson.
Maines, L. A., and J. R. Hand, 1996, «Individuals' Perceptions and Misperceptions of Time-series Properties of Quarterly Earnings.» Accounting Review 71: 317–336.
Makridakis, S., A. Andersen, R. Carbone, R. Fildes, M. Hibon, R. Lewandowski, J. Newton, R. Parzen, and R. Winkler, 1982, «The Accuracy of Extrapolation (Time Series) Methods: Results of a Forecasting Competition.» Journal of Forecasting 1: ш-153.
Makridakis, S., C. Chatfield, M. Hibon, M. Lawrence, T. Mills, K. Ord, and L. F. Simmons, 1993, «The M2-Competition: A Real-Time Judgmentally Based Forecasting Study» (with commentary). International Journal of Forecasting 5:29.
Makridakis, S., and M. Hibon, 2000, «The Мз-Competition: Results, Conclusions and Implications.» International Journal of Forecasting 16:451–476.
Mandelbrot, В., 1963, «The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices.» Journal of Business 36(4): 394–419.
Mandelbrot, Benoit, 1965, «Information Theory and Psycholinguistics.» In B. Wolman and E. Nagel, eds., Scientific Psychology: Principles and Approaches. New York: Basic Books.
-, 1975, Les objets fractals: forme, hasard, et dimension. Paris: Flammarion.
-, 1982, The Fractal Geometry of Nature. New York: W. H. Freeman and Company.
-, 1997a, Fractales, hasard et finance. Paris: Flammarion.
-, 1997b, Fractals and Scaling in Finance: Discontinuity, Concentration, Risk. New York: Springer-Verlag.
Mandelbrot, Benoit, and Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2006a, «A Focus on the Exceptions That Prove the Rule.» In Mastering Uncertainty: Financial Times Series.
-, 2006b, «Matematica della sagessa.» // Sole 24 Ore, October 9.
-, 2007а, «Random Jump Not Random Walk.» Manuscript.
-, 2007b, «Mild vs. Wild Randomness: Focusing on Risks that Matter.» Forthcoming in Frank Diebold, Neil Doherty, and Richard Herring, eds., The Known, the Unknown and the Unknowable in Financial Institutions. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Mandler, J. M., and L. McDonough, 1998, «Studies in Inductive Inference in Infancy.» Cognitive Psychology 37: 60–96.
Margalit, Avishai, 2002, The Ethics of Memory. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
Markowitz, Harry, 1952, «Portfolio Selection.» Journal of Finance (March): 77–91.
-, 1959, Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments, 2nd ed. New York: Wiley.
Marmott, Michael, 2004, The Status Syndrome: How Social Standing Affects Our Health and Longevity. London: Bloomsbury.
Marr, D., 1982, Vision. New York: W. H. Freeman and Company.
Masters, John, 1969, Casanova. New York: Bernard Geis Associates.
May, R. M., 1973, Stability and Complexity in Model Ecosystems. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
May, R. S., 1986, «Overconfidence as a Result of Incomplete and Wrong Knowledge.» In R. W. Scholz, ed., Current Issues in West German Decision Research. Frankfurt am Main, Germany: Lang.
Mayseless, O., and A. W. Kruglanski, 1987, «What Makes You So Sure? Effects of Epistemic Motivations on Judgmental Confidence. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes» 39:162–183.
McClelland, A. G. R., and F. Bolger, 1994, «The Calibration of Subjective Probabilities: Theories and Models, 1980–1994.» In G. Wright and P. Ayton, eds., Subjective Probability. Chichester, England: Wiley.
McCloskey, Deirdre, 1990, If You're So Smart: The Narrative of Economic Expertise. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
-, 1992, «The Art of Forecasting: From Ancient to Modern Times.» Cato Journal 12(1): 23–43.
McClure, Samuel M., David I. Laibson, George F. Loewenstein, and Jonathan D. Cohen, 2004, «Separate Neural Systems Value Immediate and Delayed Monetary Rewards.» Science 306(5695): 503–507.
McManus, Chris, 2002, Right Hand, Left Hand. London: Orion Books.
McNees, Stephen К., 1978, «Rebuttal of Armstrong.» Journal of Business 5i(4): 573–577.
-, 1995, «An Assessment of the 'Official1 Economic Forecasts.» New England Economic Review (July/August): 13–23.
McNeill, William H., 1976, Plagues and Peoples. New York: Anchor Books.
Medawar, Peter, 1996, The Strange Case of the Spotted Mice and Other Classic Essays on Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Meehl, Paul E., 1954, Clinical Versus Statistical Predictions: A Theoretical Analysis and Revision of the Literature. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
-, 1973, «Why I Do Not Attend in Case Conferences.» In Psychodiagnosis: Selected Papers, 225–302. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
Mendenhall, Richard R., 1991, «Evidence of Possible